Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.480330 0.524671 0.572993 0.629871 0.695389 0.768978 0.858577
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.400367 0.464499 0.541057 0.640815 0.769904 0.935085 1.169083
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.340100 0.411982 0.503739 0.633133 0.817486 1.082382 1.517191
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.307856 0.386573 0.492955 0.653908 0.904927 1.310173 2.092380
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.273065 0.351431 0.461633 0.637057 0.929995 1.449245 2.604442
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.241831 0.316657 0.424895 0.603696 0.918074 1.518091 3.024925
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.217299 0.288495 0.393859 0.573311 0.902907 1.574271 3.464001
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.206388 0.278947 0.389572 0.585804 0.968453 1.824093 4.700654
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.201565 0.277831 0.398024 0.621358 1.088832 2.264045 7.346323
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.191412 0.267340 0.389721 0.624573 1.141843 2.563533 10.217987
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.179471 0.252952 0.373251 0.609420 1.149097 2.735686 13.019593
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.169537 0.241020 0.359806 0.598189 1.163080 2.942467 17.210671
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.160772 0.230796 0.349143 0.592732 1.195175 3.260741 25.658300
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.153829 0.223227 0.342756 0.595950 1.254125 3.758295 46.639903
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.145813 0.213291 0.331158 0.586306 1.275601 4.130387 83.278753
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.141904 0.210057 0.331641 0.603682 1.384335 5.109206 368.741234
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.134528 0.200276 0.318768 0.588208 1.385138 5.485415 1453.515754
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.126174 0.188302 0.300764 0.558295 1.330230 5.440387 4125.001415
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.118758 0.177620 0.284589 0.531083 1.278841 5.387086 26820.918722
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.116013 0.175080 0.284169 0.542220 1.365892 6.569320 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.115440 0.176375 0.291458 0.573916 1.544911 9.228937 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.112142 0.172480 0.287829 0.576773 1.613046 11.070184 NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.107624 0.166093 0.278564 0.563272 1.607295 11.923853 NaN